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2024-12-14 10:35:58 <i date-time="oEXoNK"></i>

In the past year or two, the theme of A-shares was foreign investment and RMB appreciation. This concept has been going on until now, including today. However, Tuesday's favorable policy proposed to implement monetary easing, which indicates that the RMB exchange rate is expected to depreciate or begin to depreciate, and the concept of A-shares has been speculated to the end. After all, after several years, few people believe it, and it can only be played by big players themselves. The participation of retail investors is not high, and the big index stocks are at historical highs.Second, the plate rotation is too fast, and no new leading plate can be found.There have been three shrinking volume piles. I posted a picture for you in the article the day before yesterday. You can have a look. Through the judgment of volume, it is concluded that 3494 points is a high point, because there is no volume to support the rise, which belongs to the nature of attracting more and ship pulled.


Of course, there are still many situations, which are enough to explain the current trend. It is a trend of attracting more people, and I will not list them one by one. My judgment has gone up and down these days, and I keep making mistakes. Maybe it's because I want this wave of market to work normally, so I will adjust it, and it will go up when it goes up, but I just push up the index and go up for the sake of going up. In addition, the trading volume can't be effectively enlarged. Without a new leading plate, I rely on a few big index stocks to control the market. This is ship pulled. Therefore, I am still bearish on tomorrow's A-share market.Third, there is no need to do size conversion for the current A-shares.In the past year or two, the theme of A-shares was foreign investment and RMB appreciation. This concept has been going on until now, including today. However, Tuesday's favorable policy proposed to implement monetary easing, which indicates that the RMB exchange rate is expected to depreciate or begin to depreciate, and the concept of A-shares has been speculated to the end. After all, after several years, few people believe it, and it can only be played by big players themselves. The participation of retail investors is not high, and the big index stocks are at historical highs.


First, this is mainly reflected in the current situation of A-shares themselves: it is inseparable from the positive, and the hype foundation of A-shares in the past three years is being weakened.Second, the plate rotation is too fast, and no new leading plate can be found.Tuesday's rally is a reaction to the big bull market. When we look back and carefully observe the trend of the 924 market, it is always inseparable from the bull market, especially the protection of the market by favorable policies. Generally, it is not necessary to do this in a normal bull market. With the continuous influx of funds, we can complete the rise and all the necessary distances in the rising process.

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